The relentless rise in the coronavirus cases world-wide continues to keep the investors on the edge. The US dollar continued to enjoy the safe-haven flows, as the Asian equities turned negative alongside the US stock futures and Treasury yields.
COVID-19 cases surpass 1M worldwide with over 50,000 death toll.
Oil prices, meanwhile, consolidated the corrective slide from $27.30 to $23.34 amid hopes of Saudi-Russia deal to cut the oil output, as cited by US President Donald Trump. The traditional safety bet, gold, fell back in the red zone but managed to stay above the 1600 mark.
On the fx front, the anti-risk yen attempted a tepid recovery and dragged USD/JPY back below 108.00. The Aussie cheered upbeat Australian Retail Sales and China’s Caixin Services PMI and headed towards 0.6100 while the Kiwi dollar battled 0.5900. The Canadian dollar tripped in tandem with oil prices, with USD/CAD firmer above 1.4150.
Among the European currencies, EUR/USD is off the six-day low but not out the woods yet, around 1.0850. GBP/USD also traded with mild losses below 1.2400. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc traded better bid vs. the US dollar amid broad risk-aversion.
Main topics in Asia
Key focus ahead
Another busy docket today in Europe, as the Final Services PMI reports from across the Euro area economies will start trickling in from 0715 GMT onwards while the UK one will drop in at 0830 GMT. The Eurozone Producer Price Index (PPI, due at 0900 GMT, will be also watched out for some fresh trading incentives.
The NA traders will pay close attention to the US Non-Farm Payrolls data for March, in the face of the virus impact on the country’s job market. The data will be reported at 1230 GMT, followed by the Markit and ISM US Services PMIs around 1400 GMT. Markets will also take note of the Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count data due at 1700 GMT.
Despite all the macro updates lined up for release, incoming virus-linked developments and dollar price movement will continue to remain a major driving force across the markets.
With the US dollar bulls taking a breather following the latest upsurge, EUR/USD is licking its wounds ahead of the European open. The spot trades close to the six-day lows reached Thursday at 1.0820, as it awaits the critical US data for the next direction.
GBP/USD bears the burden of broad US dollar strength while waiting for fresh impulse. UK plans to issue coronavirus “immunity passports”. Final reading of the UK’s March PMIs, US jobs report and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI will be in focus.
Payrolls expected to lose 100,000 in March, first decrease since September 2010. Initial jobless claims average 4.9 million for two weeks. Dollar retains safe-haven status as public health crisis is unabated.
PMI expected to take largest one-month plunge in series history to the lowest level since the financial crisis. Data will not fully reflect the economic impact of the public health crisis.